
New Research Suggests Q-Day Likely Before 2030
Quantum ComputingCryptographyCybersecurityTechnology Forecasting
A recent study in quantum computing (available on arXiv) indicates that the factorization of a 2048-bit RSA key could be achieved with fewer than 100,000 physical qubits. Several companies in the industry, such as IONQ, anticipate reaching this level of quantum capacity by 2030. The post questions the consistency of the current timelines for preparing for post-quantum cryptography (PQC) set by the NIST and CISA for 2030/2035.